Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001698 0.001805 0.001914 0.002036 0.002168 0.002306 0.002463
2025-03-16 0.001545 0.001694 0.001854 0.002039 0.002249 0.002479 0.002752
2025-03-23 0.001422 0.001596 0.001789 0.002019 0.002288 0.002594 0.002971
2025-03-30 0.001334 0.001526 0.001743 0.002010 0.002331 0.002708 0.003186
2025-04-06 0.001250 0.001453 0.001688 0.001982 0.002344 0.002779 0.003348
2025-04-13 0.001177 0.001386 0.001633 0.001948 0.002344 0.002831 0.003485
2025-04-20 0.001095 0.001304 0.001554 0.001879 0.002294 0.002815 0.003528
2025-04-27 0.001064 0.001282 0.001547 0.001897 0.002354 0.002938 0.003758
2025-05-04 0.001046 0.001275 0.001558 0.001937 0.002441 0.003099 0.004046
2025-05-11 0.001037 0.001279 0.001581 0.001993 0.002550 0.003295 0.004391
2025-05-18 0.001012 0.001260 0.001574 0.002008 0.002606 0.003418 0.004640
2025-05-25 0.000970 0.001216 0.001532 0.001974 0.002590 0.003441 0.004744
2025-06-01 0.000925 0.001171 0.001490 0.001942 0.002583 0.003483 0.004892
2025-06-08 0.000894 0.001143 0.001470 0.001939 0.002616 0.003587 0.005141
2025-06-15 0.000859 0.001108 0.001438 0.001918 0.002622 0.003648 0.005328
2025-06-22 0.000831 0.001081 0.001416 0.001910 0.002645 0.003736 0.005561
2025-06-29 0.000799 0.001047 0.001382 0.001883 0.002638 0.003777 0.005720
2025-07-06 0.000768 0.001012 0.001346 0.001852 0.002622 0.003802 0.005854
2025-07-13 0.000727 0.000964 0.001290 0.001786 0.002552 0.003737 0.005828
2025-07-20 0.000715 0.000955 0.001289 0.001804 0.002609 0.003879 0.006168
2025-07-27 0.000709 0.000955 0.001301 0.001841 0.002699 0.004078 0.006624
2025-08-03 0.000708 0.000962 0.001322 0.001893 0.002815 0.004327 0.007191
2025-08-10 0.000696 0.000952 0.001320 0.001908 0.002871 0.004476 0.007583